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Here We Go Again: Expect an Active 2018 Hurricane Season

April 13, 2018 Leave a comment DRI Admin

Early predictions are already in for the upcoming hurricane season, which begins June 1. It’s going to be hard to top last year, but 2018 is still expected to be one to brace for.

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season forecast released from Colorado State University’s Tropical Meteorology Project says to expect another busy season with 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.

While this is still higher than the 30-year historical averages (12 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes), it is less than last year.

One factor that probably won’t affect the season – El Niño. This periodic warming of the waters of the Pacific Ocean tends to produce areas of stronger wind shear.  But a weak or neutral El Niño is predicted at least until September, meaning ocean temperatures in the Pacific should remain at expected levels.

Each year, storm predictors point out that this doesn’t mean any of the expected storms will necessarily make landfall — but as we’ve learned over the years, it only takes one to hit the U.S. for catastrophic results, so everyone needs to prepare accordingly.