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Hurricane Season Halfway Point: What to Expect Next

August 12, 2022 Leave a comment DRI Admin

So far, it’s been a relatively quiet Atlantic Hurricane Season. But as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) warns, there’s still plenty of time for that to change for the worse.

The Climate Prediction Center, part of the U.S. National Weather Service, has issued a mid-season update on NOAA’s early prediction of an above-normal hurricane season, downgrading it from 65% to 60%. There is also now a 30% likelihood of near-normal activity.

But that’s not an invitation to relax – the update still calls for 14-20 named storms, 6-10 of which could become hurricanes, from now through the end of the season on Nov. 30.

“I urge everyone to remain vigilant as we enter the peak months of hurricane season,” said Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo. “The experts at NOAA will continue to provide the science, data and services needed to help communities become hurricane resilient and climate-ready for the remainder of hurricane season and beyond.”

Likewise, the National Weather Service is urging communities and organizations to continue to prepare for upcoming storms, particularly in the most active months of August through October. While NOAA can make predictions based on long-term expectations of La Niña and other factors, storms reaching landfall are governed by short-term weather patterns and can only be predicted within one week of the storm reaching the coastline.

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