2023 Predictions: What’s Next For Climate Change Efforts?
The DRI International Future Vision Committee has released its 8th Annual Predictions Report, looking ahead to 2022 and its impact on the resilience community. Download the complete report free from the DRI Library, and read on for a prediction about how the world stage will respond to climate change efforts.
Prediction 1: Global climate change measures will divide public opinion.
With most governments doubling down on their commitments to becoming zero carbon by 2050 (at least in their public pronouncements), the reality of hard choices necessary to achieve a net zero carbon future come into play. Conflicts will grow from local to national concerns. Regulatory restrictions, surcharges, and other attempts to nudge the system in a greener direction are bumping up against long-held expectations around choice, convenience, and personal freedom. This intended transition comes at an inopportune time given the increased social fragility on many fronts such as health, housing, and utility costs. These factors demand that politicians focus on short-term economic problems more than longer-term climate adaption strategies.
In many countries, tensions are playing out. There are those who see production of fossil fuels, like coal, as essential to their employment and financial prospects. Others see them as damaging to the environment and public health. The COP27 suggestion of developed nations paying compensation to developing nations for past industrialization is already very controversial.
We foresee many years, perhaps decades, of disruption and chaos stemming from the widely accepted need for some countries to adapt faster than their populations are prepared to tolerate. Low-lying island nations and densely-populated urban areas in poorer countries will be hit hardest, but all countries understand the need to make changes. How and when are the issues.
Join us for DRI2023 in Austin, TX, Feb. 26 – Mar. 1, 2023, where Future Vision Committee Chair Lyndon Bird will lead an interactive session where participants will have the opportunity to vote on a number of the key issues which have emerged from the reports. Bird will respond to voting as it happens, providing instant feedback and opinion. Please come to this session ready to participate, debate, and even argue if you wish. Challenging and controversial opinions are welcome.